Bolton Wanderers vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 1
BOL
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 0
HUR
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
DER
1 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 1
POR
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 2
SHE
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 0
SWI
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
FUL
1 - 0
SWI
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 1
STO
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |