Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PNE
1 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 2
OPA
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
STO
3 - 2
BPO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
MID
1 - 1
STO
51%
22%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 1
STO
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1949 |
STO
2 - 0
PNE
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |