Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City analysis

Bolton Wanderers Stoke City
81 ELO 76
9.6% Tilt 6.2%
488º General ELO ranking 765º
29º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
77.5%
Bolton Wanderers
13.3%
Draw
9.2%
Stoke City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.2%
Win probability
Stoke City
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-10%
+14%
Stoke City

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1906
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
56%
22%
22%
81 82 1 0
15 Sep. 1906
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 0
Derby County
DER
78%
13%
9%
80 76 4 +1
08 Sep. 1906
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
6 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
64%
18%
18%
80 80 0 0
01 Sep. 1906
NOT
Notts County
0 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
43%
22%
35%
80 73 7 0
28 Apr. 1906
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
51%
23%
26%
80 86 6 0

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 1906
STO
Stoke City
1 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
53%
21%
26%
76 79 3 0
15 Sep. 1906
NOT
Notts County
2 - 2
Stoke City
STO
59%
20%
20%
76 73 3 0
10 Sep. 1906
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
83%
10%
6%
76 84 8 0
08 Sep. 1906
STO
Stoke City
0 - 3
Bristol City
BRI
55%
21%
24%
77 79 2 -1
03 Sep. 1906
STO
Stoke City
0 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
41%
24%
35%
77 84 7 0
X