Bolton Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 1
FLE
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 1
MCI
22%
21%
58%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 2
BOL
70%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
ROC
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 0
BPO
23%
28%
50%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
0 - 1
CHE
39%
21%
40%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
EXE
4 - 0
PLY
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
4 - 0
LEY
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PLY
2 - 0
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 1
PLY
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |