Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
BOL
3 - 2
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1926 |
BOL
5 - 3
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
MUD
2 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 1
BOL
49%
25%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
NOT
1 - 3
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1926 |
LEE
2 - 1
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 0
NOT
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |