Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
3 - 3
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
TOT
3 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
BOL
3 - 0
BBU
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
TOT
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
WBA
1 - 2
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
NOT
1 - 2
LIV
38%
31%
31%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |