Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
BOL
2 - 0
SHW
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
BOL
2 - 1
BBU
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
PNE
1 - 1
BOL
47%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
BOL
4 - 1
PNE
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
BBU
2 - 2
BOL
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
BBU
1 - 1
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
NOT
5 - 2
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
NOT
5 - 0
BBU
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 4
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
NOT
1 - 1
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |