Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 3
BOL
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
MID
4 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
OLD
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOT
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
DER
3 - 3
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
NOT
3 - 0
LIV
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOT
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
NOT
1 - 2
MUD
30%
24%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |