Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
MID
1 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SHW
0 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 0
BBU
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 1
OLD
56%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1912 |
SHE
1 - 3
NOT
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
NOT
1 - 4
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |