Bolton Wanderers vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 2
MUD
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
3 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
2 - 1
SHW
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
1 - 0
NOT
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 2
BBU
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
MUD
0 - 1
NOT
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
NOT
2 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
NOT
0 - 3
SHE
45%
23%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |