Bolton Wanderers vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
5 - 0
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
BOL
4 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 0
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
BBU
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 3
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
NTT
74%
16%
11%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |