Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAL
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
2 - 3
CRE
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LEY
4 - 0
BOL
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 0
NWC
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
STF
3 - 0
NWC
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
NWC
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
STF
3 - 0
NWC
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
NWC
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |