Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
WHU
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
0 - 3
LEE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 1
BBU
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
MAC
2 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 0
FUL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 1
NEW
69%
18%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ASV
0 - 1
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |