Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
PNE
0 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 3
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
BPO
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
NEW
0 - 0
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
MUD
5 - 2
NEW
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
HUR
65%
17%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |