Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 1
SHW
55%
21%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
TOT
1 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
OPA
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 2
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |