Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
LEE
2 - 5
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1926 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1926 |
NEW
1 - 5
BUR
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1926 |
NEW
3 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |