Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
WBA
0 - 0
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
6 - 0
BBU
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
1 - 2
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |