Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
BBU
3 - 1
BOL
50%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 0
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
24%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BOL
2 - 0
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
BIR
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BIR
4 - 1
NEW
48%
27%
25%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 1
EVE
53%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |