Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOL
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 0
HUR
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
HUR
1 - 1
BOL
46%
24%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1923 |
WBA
2 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
NEW
5 - 1
BBU
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1923 |
NEW
2 - 0
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |