Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHL
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
BBU
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
BIR
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 4
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |