Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1921 |
BOL
3 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
BRA
2 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
BOL
2 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
BOL
4 - 2
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 1
DER
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
50%
27%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
DER
0 - 1
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1921 |
NEW
1 - 2
OLD
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1921 |
BBU
3 - 3
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |