Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
TOT
1 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
MID
1 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1912 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1912 |
MUD
0 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |