Bolton Wanderers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
LEY
0 - 2
BOL
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
EVE
1 - 4
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BBU
2 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
2 - 0
NOR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |