Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
LUT
0 - 1
BOL
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOT
79%
13%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
OPA
3 - 1
BOL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1953 |
NOT
2 - 2
BOL
46%
23%
32%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 1
NOT
80%
12%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
MID
2 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
MAC
5 - 1
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
MID
0 - 0
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
PNE
3 - 0
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1953 |
MID
2 - 2
SHW
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |