Bolton Wanderers vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
BOL
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 1
STO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 4
BOL
10%
18%
71%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 2
MAN
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAN
7%
14%
79%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 1
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 1
MAN
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
OXF
41%
23%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |