Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
4 - 0
BPO
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 2
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 6
ARS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
DER
4 - 3
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
76%
15%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
DER
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 1
BPO
65%
19%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 0
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |