Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 2
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
STO
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1936 |
WOL
3 - 1
MUD
76%
13%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 0
BOL
43%
23%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
2 - 2
WBA
36%
22%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
MID
3 - 2
MUD
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
MUD
1 - 2
BIR
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |