Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis

Bolton Wanderers Manchester United
81 ELO 82
-6.8% Tilt -19.1%
488º General ELO ranking 14º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.6%
Bolton Wanderers
23.8%
Draw
27.6%
Manchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
Bolton Wanderers
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
Manchester United
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bolton Wanderers
-9%
-2%
Manchester United

ELO progression

Bolton Wanderers
Manchester United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 1912
NOT
Notts County
1 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
47%
25%
28%
81 76 5 0
16 Nov. 1912
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
3 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
65%
19%
16%
80 78 2 +1
09 Nov. 1912
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
51%
23%
26%
80 74 6 0
02 Nov. 1912
BOL
Bolton Wanderers
1 - 1
Derby County
DER
69%
18%
14%
80 77 3 0
26 Oct. 1912
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
6 - 0
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
67%
20%
13%
81 84 3 -1

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 1912
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
60%
21%
19%
82 80 2 0
16 Nov. 1912
ASV
Aston Villa
4 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
75%
15%
11%
82 85 3 0
09 Nov. 1912
SUN
Sunderland
3 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
58%
21%
21%
83 82 1 -1
02 Nov. 1912
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Notts County
NOT
77%
14%
9%
82 75 7 +1
26 Oct. 1912
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
43%
25%
32%
83 78 5 -1
X