Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
EVE
3 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
BOL
2 - 1
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
BBU
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
CHL
3 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
SHE
0 - 1
MUD
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 2
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |