Bolton Wanderers vs Man. City Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BRO
0 - 2
BOL
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 3
ROC
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 0
BPO
23%
28%
50%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Man. City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
MCI
37%
23%
40%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 2
MCI
52%
22%
27%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 0
MCI
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 4
MCI
45%
23%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
MCI
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |