Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BBU
0 - 0
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 3
BOL
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 2
LIV
33%
28%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MUD
4 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
13%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 1
MUD
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
3 - 1
SCU
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
TOT
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |