Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
29.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1960 |
SHW
2 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 3
FUL
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
0 - 1
WBA
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1960 |
MAC
4 - 0
BBU
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1960 |
EVE
4 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1960 |
MAC
3 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1960 |
TOT
1 - 1
MAC
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1960 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |