Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPA
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
BIR
2 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
LEE
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1938 |
STO
3 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
7 - 1
WBA
61%
19%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 2
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
GRI
3 - 1
MAC
49%
21%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
5 - 3
CHA
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1938 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |