Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
WBA
0 - 2
BOL
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 3
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 1
LEE
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1936 |
MAC
4 - 1
EVE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1936 |
HUR
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1936 |
MAC
2 - 4
SUN
49%
22%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1936 |
MAC
3 - 2
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |