Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
BOL
2 - 1
SHE
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1926 |
HUR
3 - 0
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1926 |
BOL
3 - 2
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
LEI
2 - 3
MAC
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
4 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
1 - 0
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
2 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |