Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 1
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
5 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 0
WBA
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 1
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
MAC
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 2
LIV
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |