FA Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Bolton Wanderers vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MUD
3 - 0
BOL
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BOL
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 2
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
GUL
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BOL
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
ROT
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |