Bolton Wanderers vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 1
OPA
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
BUR
1 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1957 |
MUD
0 - 2
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 2
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 2
MUD
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 0
BIR
51%
23%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 4
CHL
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 0
LUT
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |