EFL Cup 1/32
Global 7-5
Bolton Wanderers vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
CRY
2 - 2
BOL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOT
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 0
MUD
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
LEY
1 - 3
BOL
12%
20%
69%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ARS
4 - 1
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
SWA
1 - 1
LEY
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
HER
2 - 0
LEY
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
LEY
1 - 3
BOL
12%
20%
69%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
LEY
1 - 0
EXE
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1997 |
LEY
0 - 2
CAM
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |