EFL Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Bolton Wanderers vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
NTT
3 - 2
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
EVE
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 3
BOL
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
0 - 1
QPR
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
LIV
5 - 2
BOL
73%
19%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
SHE
1 - 3
LEI
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
BAR
2 - 2
LEI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1995 |
BUR
0 - 2
LEI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEI
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |