Bolton Wanderers vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1978 |
EXE
2 - 1
BOL
19%
21%
60%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOL
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
3 - 2
NOR
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 1
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
LEE
3 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
COV
0 - 0
LEE
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 2
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MAC
3 - 0
LEE
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 3
LEE
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |