Bolton Wanderers vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STO
5 - 0
BOL
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
BOL
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
STE
1 - 4
BOL
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
POS
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
2 - 0
BOL
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
FLE
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 2
SAL
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 0
FLE
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 1
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |