Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
CRY
3 - 1
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
23%
29%
48%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
MUD
2 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
ARS
2 - 0
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
DER
2 - 2
STO
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ASV
1 - 0
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
DER
2 - 1
TOT
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
DER
2 - 2
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
MID
3 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |