Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1952 |
MID
2 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
FUL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1952 |
FUL
1 - 2
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1952 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1952 |
FUL
3 - 0
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
DER
1 - 3
NEW
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
DER
1 - 0
OPA
54%
21%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1952 |
WBA
1 - 0
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |