Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1933 |
BBU
3 - 2
BOL
67%
17%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
SUN
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1933 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1933 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPA
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1933 |
MAC
3 - 2
DER
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
HUR
0 - 0
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1933 |
SUN
0 - 1
DER
59%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1933 |
DER
4 - 4
SUN
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
EVE
4 - 2
DER
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |