Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
BBU
3 - 1
BOL
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
3 - 1
SHE
46%
22%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
3 - 0
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
SUN
3 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
5 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
DER
3 - 2
HUR
59%
20%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 3
DER
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
2 - 1
DER
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
DER
1 - 0
CHL
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |