Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
DER
0 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
BOL
6 - 2
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
MID
4 - 1
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1920 |
DER
0 - 0
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
DER
1 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1920 |
MAC
0 - 0
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
DER
3 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |