Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
DER
1 - 2
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
BOL
6 - 2
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1919 |
MID
1 - 3
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
MAC
1 - 4
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
DER
1 - 2
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
DER
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
DER
3 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
DER
1 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |