Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1914 |
BOL
1 - 0
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
59%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
2 - 1
LIV
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1914 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1914 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
WBA
2 - 1
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1914 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1914 |
DER
2 - 3
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |