Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
BBU
6 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 0
SHW
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
EVE
2 - 3
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
WBA
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
DER
4 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1912 |
ASV
5 - 1
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1912 |
DER
2 - 1
MUD
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
DER
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
DER
0 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |